7  How to Cite

7.1 This manual

Matthews, L. (2026). Injection Risk Triage (IRT) Field Manual: A causal-inference pipeline for induced-seismicity management in the Permian Basin. Project Geminae. https://github.com/Project-Geminae/induced-seismicity

7.2 The technical paper

The methods contribution (regHAL-TMLE Delta-method inference for shift interventions on injection volume, and the GPU active-set solver for full-panel highly-adaptive-lasso estimation) is described in the paper draft in the repository (PAPER_DRAFT.md), which extends:

Matthews, L. et al. SPE-228051: Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Induced Seismicity Attribution.

7.3 Key methods literature

• Li, Z., Qiu, H., Wang, G., & van der Laan, M. (2025). Delta-method inference for regularized HAL. arXiv:2506.17214.
• van der Laan, M. & Rose, S. (2011). Targeted Learning. Springer.
• Nugent, J. et al. (2024). Two-Stage TMLE. arXiv:2208.09508.
• Xiao, et al. (2025). MSM-IPTW for induced seismicity under time-varying confounding. arXiv:2510.16360. (The complementary longitudinal approach; see the Methods Defense appendix for positioning.)

7.4 Data sources

• TexNet Earthquake Catalog, Bureau of Economic Geology, UT Austin.
• Railroad Commission of Texas, H-10 injection filings (daily volumes).

Both are public. The processed panel and all derived artifacts regenerate from the repository pipeline.